MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd078f98eeb2a0083f9f5db19198f72bf1af6ec068368e0663f8911e99c103ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 15,330$7,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.45 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 12,625$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 9,280$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.07 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 7,682$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 6,608$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 5,268$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.1 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,303$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 3,148$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 2,241$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,062$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 2,038$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,763$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,578$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.25 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 1,043$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 927.21$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 918.62$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.75 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 876$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 745.32$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 631$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 596.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.74 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 398$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 371.81$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 371.81$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 332.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 329.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 260.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 231.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 208.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f5ecbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 197.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 181.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Braves | 22c | 172$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 150.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 125.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 123.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 114.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 113.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 87.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 82.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 81.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 73.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 71.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 62.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 59.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 59.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 58.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 53.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 50.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 47.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 35.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 34.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 33.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…2779backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…57f1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.