NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x372b345b5dc0e02538d2727490040a8b7509b74de45d8949d8a2f45a70df19d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 53c | 131,226$69,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,708.4 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 47c | 57,009$26,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,794.33 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 47c | 52,470$24,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,660.99 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 47c | 39,041$18,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,366 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 53c | 14,374$7,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.87 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 8,793$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.65 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 6,311$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.04 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 48c | 6,078$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.31 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 5,118$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 4,954$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 64c | 4,535$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 48c | 4,384$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.23 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 4,216$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 52c | 4,042$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.69 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 55c | 3,933$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.07 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 3,671$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 3,666$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 42c | 3,412$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.11 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 54c | 3,270$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.05 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 46c | 3,207$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.74 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 3,159$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 53c | 2,176$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.73 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 69c | 2,101$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.34 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…6a5abacked Over | 2c | 1,941$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 1,852$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.32 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,696$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.15 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 49c | 1,481$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.57 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,467$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.43 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 35c | 1,443$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.93 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 53c | 1,405$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 1,374$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.64 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 53c | 1,366$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.25 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 1,076$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.42 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…b740backed Over | 6c | 968.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 31c | 958.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.17 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 53c | 929.28$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.94 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 903.65$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.39 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 54c | 902.34$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.49 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 47c | 850$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 42c | 755.51$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 750.15$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Under | 60c | 679.95$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 50c | 594.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 53c | 554.35$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.89 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 6c | 526.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 524.78$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…01f3backed Under | 53c | 494.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 25c | 433.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 423.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 49c | 396.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 386.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 378.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 13c | 341.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Over | 53c | 323.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 322.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 316.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Under | 52c | 315.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 54c | 304.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Over | 55c | 272.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 59c | 271.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 267.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 47c | 263.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 253.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over | 33c | 245.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 47c | 231.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 47c | 230.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Over | 49c | 210.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 48c | 204.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Under | 49c | 198.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Under | 50c | 194.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…2cb8backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…8396backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Under | 53c | 185.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 46c | 174.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 46c | 173.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Under | 44c | 167.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 47c | 158.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 154.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 52c | 140.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 27c | 139.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 53c | 129.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Under | 53c | 126.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 52c | 124.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 53c | 104.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…8665backed Under | 66c | 98.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Over | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…8fdebacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…41f3backed Under | 75c | 83.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. PistonsMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.