TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under46c34,148$15,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,279.424957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Under52c22,000$11,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5602240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over54c15,296$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,259.8459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Under47c12,289$5,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,472.715655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c10,748$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over48c7,912$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.8510256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under46c7,771$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.2432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c6,191$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over55c4,865$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over56c2,932$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.435655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Under46c2,751$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over48c2,550$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.1615849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over53c2,496$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.8856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,241$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c2,106$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c2,099$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.982,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,726$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,536$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,467$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c1,422$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.891,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c1,389$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.991,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c1,359$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.0590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c1,289$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Over54c1,170$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.066058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under46c1,162$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.4849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,131$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.682,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c964.92$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.1618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c905.72$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c820$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over48c760.51$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under53c643.61$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over54c630.26$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over52c621.94$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4120552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over51c565$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c561.89$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under56c540.64$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8511873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under48c521$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.925843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under40c463.75$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.182,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c426.25$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.791,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over50c417.22$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over53c389.69$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Under47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c320.01$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c297.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.761,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Over64c293.78$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.663767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over17c286.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under48c252.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.197150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c249.14$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.883,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over54c246.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.138850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over48c237.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over48c233.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0614347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under49c225.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.028350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6233251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Under51c203.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8715336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…b062backed Over52c201.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93e8…d7bbbacked Under49c197.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over34c196.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8420638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c194.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over47c192.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4514052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over53c183.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2928536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb6…8fdebacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.183060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2429345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c168.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.271,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Over48c158.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2611451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.061,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under39c150.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under48c150.25$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2311864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over52c149.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.711946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c147.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.681,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f3…2c21backed Under66c143.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.392070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over52c123.07$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over48c117.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over53c115.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7316842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Over62c109.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4113560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c109.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.911,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c107.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.599653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4812458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c100.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5235849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.311,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over52c96.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over14c95.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3110718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Over49c92.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.882445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c88.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under41c81.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c80.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over47c78.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.