NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4572c3606990902895ad1464e34e7275f05863c5972075ab5fb22b470e9b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Pistons | 74c | 3,473$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 64c | 2,571$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Pistons | 30c | 1,950$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 26c | 1,880$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Pistons | 43c | 896.93$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Pistons | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Magic | 69c | 710.92$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Magic | 77c | 638.31$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Magic | 64c | 613.01$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Magic | 68c | 604.07$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pistons | 32c | 596.41$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Magic | 26c | 515.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Pistons | 46c | 398.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…d4b3backed Magic | 64c | 338.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic | 69c | 298.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Magic | 70c | 248.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…3452backed Pistons | 41c | 235.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…de25backed Pistons | 41c | 232.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Pistons | 72c | 204.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…86dabacked Pistons | 36c | 185.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons | 35c | 176.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Magic | 58c | 163.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pistons | 72c | 143.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Magic | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Magic | 28c | 137.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…6265backed Magic | 68c | 111.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…b468backed Magic | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Magic | 24c | 96.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pistons | 31c | 96.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Magic | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Magic | 28c | 90.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Magic | 57c | 87.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Pistons | 41c | 76.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…6b56backed Magic | 31c | 73.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Pistons | 72c | 68.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Magic | 57c | 67.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…8bf0backed Magic | 31c | 67.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 28c | 62.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Magic | 28c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Pistons | 72c | 59.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Magic | 27c | 57.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…c8bdbacked Pistons | 75c | 56.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…b955backed Pistons | 55c | 54.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Magic | 56c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic | 57c | 48.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Magic | 31c | 42.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Magic | 68c | 37.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Pistons | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Pistons | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…9669backed Pistons | 42c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Pistons | 36c | 31.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Magic | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Pistons | 33c | 30.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Magic | 70c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Pistons | 77c | 26.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Magic | 66c | 24.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…f99cbacked Pistons | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Magic | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. PistonsMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.