MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb31de4958c58d17c1e0b27ee4e58e9e97560c1936e293ce52eacd89ca445b145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Miami Marlins, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 41,000$19,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,269.89 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 22,899$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,398.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 18,683$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,682.66 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 14,774$5,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 13,476$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,064.1 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 12,249$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.62 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 11,646$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,436.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 9,423$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 8,251$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.48 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 7,570$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 6,307$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.27 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 5,925$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.48 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,120$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.97 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 5,036$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,813$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.08 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 4,526$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.17 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 3,994$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 3,108$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,754$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.74 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,673$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,611$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,425$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.82 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,340$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.8 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,320$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.48 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…e19cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,195$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,190$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.01 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…cafebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,093$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,071$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,066$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,005$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…48a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,986$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,907$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.29 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…1134backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,884$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,880$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 1,877$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.13 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 1,539$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.7 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,475$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.95 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,274$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.6 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…da59backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 840$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 702.41$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 698.54$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 640$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 633.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 610.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 593.24$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 588$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 563.83$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 557.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 556.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 497.5$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 474.68$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 466.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 452.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 426$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 415.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 344.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 336.37$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 323.78$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 321.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 313.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 312.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 301.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 299$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 284$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 277.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 270$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 262$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 262$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 256.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 212$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 203$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.