Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211a8e31271e337e5f7b54bfb27c443b8730d5a512177d3deb5aaa33e816b993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,598$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.28 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 67c | 523.22$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.45 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 441.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.94 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 41c | 428.37$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…bd15backed Yes | 46c | 357.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 54c | 265.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 23c | 256.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 22c | 206.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 31c | 202.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…0377backed No | 18c | 190.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 33c | 189.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 45c | 157.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0a…a70bbacked Yes | 64c | 146.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 77c | 129.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 80c | 126.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 22c | 123.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 34c | 122.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 67c | 121.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 47c | 110.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 58c | 110.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63a4backed No | 30c | 109.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 101.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed No | 21c | 94.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 64c | 93.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 89.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 83.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 17c | 83.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 24c | 81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 33c | 80.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 57c | 79.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 77.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 30c | 67.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…c199backed Yes | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 49c | 64.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 24c | 62.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked No | 51c | 61.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 33c | 61.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 60c | 60.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 42c | 58.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 74c | 57.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed No | 30c | 56.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 61c | 56.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…6063backed No | 39c | 56.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…5624backed Yes | 24c | 56.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…31b1backed Yes | 22c | 55.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 42c | 52.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 62c | 52.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 66c | 50.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 51c | 48.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 45c | 43.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 42c | 41.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 30c | 39.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…c6c8backed No | 62c | 39.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 37.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Yes | 58c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 41c | 32.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 55c | 31.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 61c | 31.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…4d70backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4fc6backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 47c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 67c | 28.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed Yes | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…0d3fbacked No | 50c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…a0f0backed No | 45c | 23.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 60c | 23.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…5749backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 64c | 19.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 59c | 18.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 55c | 18.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 61c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 75c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…c357backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.