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UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cody Brundageof Cody Brundage, Andre Petroski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$965,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,190,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $965,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Andre Petroski61c634,101$384,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384,296.317454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Cody Brundage39c175,000$68,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,75019154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Cody Brundage39c165,000$64,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,6509240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Cody Brundage40c63,801$25,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,370.863943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cody Brundage40c50,000$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,25037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cody Brundage39c44,895$17,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,187.9514558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cody Brundage41c31,732$12,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,873.9315444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cody Brundage40c18,750$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,25029133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Cody Brundage39c18,645$7,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,373.457534.7%26 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Cody Brundage39c16,500$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0656238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Cody Brundage39c15,748$6,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,641.2516244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Cody Brundage40c12,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.995632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cody Brundage40c10,247$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,148.2710035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Cody Brundage40c10,193$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,068.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c57…427ebacked Andre Petroski2c10,164$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Andre Petroski63c9,000$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.937238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Andre Petroski58c5,323$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.363545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cody Brundage42c5,229$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.4414551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Andre Petroski61c5,061$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.814461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Andre Petroski58c4,412$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.1410255.9%57 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Andre Petroski58c4,333$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.143033.3%10 W · 20 L-7.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Cody Brundage41c3,509$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.6420233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Cody Brundage42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.9517055.3%94 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cody Brundage39c2,741$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.0127448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Andre Petroski2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Cody Brundage42c2,469$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.9811554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Cody Brundage41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.028640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Cody Brundage43c2,381$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.772646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Cody Brundage41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9926743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Cody Brundage41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.971090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+104.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Cody Brundage42c1,918$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.6226140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Cody Brundage62c1,495$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.1990553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Cody Brundage42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.575431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Cody Brundage35c1,427$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.375954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Andre Petroski58c1,369$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.0230964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Andre Petroski1c1,364$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Cody Brundage40c1,336$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cody Brundage39c1,325$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.434957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Cody Brundage43c1,310$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.513650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Cody Brundage58c1,283$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4516156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Andre Petroski2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Cody Brundage63c1,193$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.367647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Andre Petroski58c1,100$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6385360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Andre Petroski77c1,004$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.167460.8%45 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Andre Petroski60c999.98$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.992548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Andre Petroski61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Andre Petroski59c971$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.237263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Andre Petroski59c913.12$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.747068.6%48 W · 22 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Andre Petroski58c900$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cody Brundage39c897$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.1741754%225 W · 192 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Cody Brundage37c888$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.224045%18 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Andre Petroski58c876.61$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2311761.5%72 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Andre Petroski58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aab…9ae0backed Cody Brundage35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.145752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Andre Petroski58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46425251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Cody Brundage73c775.12$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5316746.1%77 W · 90 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Andre Petroski61c765$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.658940.4%36 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Cody Brundage40c764.68$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.813748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Cody Brundage42c720$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.64845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Andre Petroski60c668.36$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.012941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Cody Brundage41c660.62$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.772630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Andre Petroski61c648.41$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5315048.7%73 W · 77 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Andre Petroski59c631.56$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.59746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Cody Brundage35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39020837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cody Brundage33c599.8$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.333132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cody Brundage36c588.12$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5415939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Cody Brundage41c582.84$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.613438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b4…f97ebacked Cody Brundage69c579.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.435851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+192.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Cody Brundage38c569$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.136732.8%22 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Cody Brundage43c550$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Andre Petroski58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Cody Brundage41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2957647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Cody Brundage40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Cody Brundage23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3859949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Andre Petroski59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29518644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Cody Brundage42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Andre Petroski61c466$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.95950.8%30 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Andre Petroski16c435$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Andre Petroski60c428.8$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.283756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Andre Petroski56c428.12$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Cody Brundage50c411$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2312451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106e…e672backed Cody Brundage39c410$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+66%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Cody Brundage40c399.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Andre Petroski49c394.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9522438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cody Brundage40c373.46$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.087159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Cody Brundage42c359.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+75.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Cody Brundage40c356.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.352733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Andre Petroski62c354.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205250%26 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Andre Petroski58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Cody Brundage36c334.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.494751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Cody Brundage21c328$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6213832.6%45 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Andre Petroski60c311.67$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1875461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Andre Petroski42c309.56$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.832540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Andre Petroski4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Cody Brundage36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.34032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Andre Petroski61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Cody Brundage43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1715446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Andre Petroski77c299.19$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3712055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked Andre Petroski77c295.3$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.381747.1%8 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Andre Petroski58c275.86$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.