MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aee8999bdc226283933f978056df8accef04f175d9dd20904a33ee140651754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 150,508$64,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,713.29 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 105,423$59,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,372.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 35,849$20,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,411.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 31,375$17,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,682.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 44c | 19,803$8,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,713.43 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 43c | 13,468$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.05 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 8,400$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 40c | 3,358$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.53 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 43c | 3,016$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 1,722$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.83 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 44c | 1,659$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 42c | 1,647$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.47 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 42c | 1,647$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.47 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 40c | 1,638$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 1,608$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.44 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 1,590$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.05 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 1,452$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 1,408$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.52 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 1,267$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 56c | 1,236$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 56c | 1,231$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 1,200$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 1,105$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 970.4$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 57c | 932.38$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.92 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Under | 67c | 926.7$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.81 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 64c | 876.28$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 773.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 705.05$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 529.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 526$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 41c | 491.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 58c | 465.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 464.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 43c | 459.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 57c | 458.28$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…2e36backed Over | 44c | 402.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Under | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 67c | 347.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 56c | 342.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 301.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 240.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 80c | 233$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 200.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 186.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Under | 58c | 173.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Over | 36c | 157.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked Over | 45c | 148.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 40c | 143.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 142.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…9c47backed Under | 44c | 114.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 35c | 93.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 51c | 87.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Over | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 63c | 82.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6767backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…96f4backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 42c | 60.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 57c | 60.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…2e7ebacked Over | 40c | 59.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 57c | 57.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…e0e2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 43c | 48.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 56c | 37.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 60c | 30.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.