MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938010c4177d9f7f82c9377c179ee0c1c81108702e95d168a12489b6a08274ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 52,657$29,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,163.58 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 35,160$15,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,819.04 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 45c | 33,333$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,333.33 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.99 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 45c | 16,394$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,078.49 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.93 | 544 | 51.1%278 W · 266 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 7,585$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 67c | 3,985$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.89 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 3,224$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.06 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,204$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.29 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 1,924$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,660$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 1,651$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.95 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,609$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.38 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,544$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.23 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,461$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 1,404$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 75c | 1,242$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.41 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 1,218$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 999.06$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.47 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 997$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.07 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 977.63$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Houston Astros | 78c | 965.61$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 858.51$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.93 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 820.7$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.27 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 787.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Astros | 67c | 711.06$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.65 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 660$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.52 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 638.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 634.62$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.77 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 600.08$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.64 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 542.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…549bbacked Minnesota Twins | 3c | 532.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Houston Astros | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Houston Astros | 80c | 487$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Houston Astros | 42c | 479.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.36 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 448.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Houston Astros | 67c | 443.87$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 441$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Minnesota Twins | 11c | 420.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 76c | 418.14$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 67c | 402.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 398.41$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 361$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 312.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Houston Astros | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 355 | 49%174 W · 181 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 299.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 78c | 260$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 42c | 256.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 244.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Houston Astros | 67c | 238.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 231.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 220.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 214.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb181…2e4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 206.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 205$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 204.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 203$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 201$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 192.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Houston Astros | 75c | 189$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 183.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd633…8c3fbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 182$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 79c | 181.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 176.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 174.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 630 | 43.3%273 W · 357 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 44c | 173.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 850 | 40.2%342 W · 508 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 171$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,003 | 24.7%248 W · 755 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Houston Astros | 45c | 169.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 165.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 164.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 596 | 43.1%257 W · 339 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Houston Astros | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Houston Astros | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 152.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 69c | 151.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Houston Astros | 67c | 148.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 800 | 55.8%446 W · 354 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.