UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe31fb5b0651e5c1018f733efe4eae58fcdeb6e7cd54040af400bca5b82fd69e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolle Caliariof Nicolle Caliari, Shauna Bannon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 23,398$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.39 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 21,127$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.76 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 12,500$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Nicolle Caliari | 68c | 8,822$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Shauna Bannon | 30c | 7,200$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shauna Bannon | 36c | 5,521$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.92 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Shauna Bannon | 31c | 4,825$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.74 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Nicolle Caliari | 39c | 4,752$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.55 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Shauna Bannon | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…7449backed Shauna Bannon | 30c | 3,859$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Nicolle Caliari | 78c | 3,441$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.58 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 2,731$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.8 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Shauna Bannon | 21c | 2,338$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Shauna Bannon | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.77 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Shauna Bannon | 31c | 1,629$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Shauna Bannon | 30c | 1,496$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.78 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Shauna Bannon | 29c | 1,306$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.73 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 1,275$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.37 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Shauna Bannon | 54c | 1,201$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.46 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Shauna Bannon | 14c | 1,180$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Nicolle Caliari | 67c | 1,100$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shauna Bannon | 30c | 1,041$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.11 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Shauna Bannon | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Shauna Bannon | 32c | 999.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolle Caliari | 68c | 980.78$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.21 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Shauna Bannon | 29c | 908.84$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Nicolle Caliari | 79c | 885.83$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Shauna Bannon | 32c | 865.63$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Nicolle Caliari | 35c | 864.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.78 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shauna Bannon | 60c | 861.47$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.91 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Shauna Bannon | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 804.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 793.05$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.24 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Shauna Bannon | 33c | 642.68$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 607.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Shauna Bannon | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…c177backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Nicolle Caliari | 66c | 575.76$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Shauna Bannon | 31c | 571.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 569.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 529.21$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Shauna Bannon | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Shauna Bannon | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Nicolle Caliari | 32c | 493.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 478.26$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nicolle Caliari | 60c | 469.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Shauna Bannon | 22c | 449.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Shauna Bannon | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Nicolle Caliari | 43c | 397.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 393.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Shauna Bannon | 41c | 384.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Shauna Bannon | 63c | 378.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nicolle Caliari | 67c | 375.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 350.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Shauna Bannon | 29c | 350$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 340$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Shauna Bannon | 32c | 334.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…0f85backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 327.43$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 321.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0309…3e4dbacked Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 320.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Shauna Bannon | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Shauna Bannon | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…66a7backed Nicolle Caliari | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shauna Bannon | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Nicolle Caliari | 77c | 260.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 257.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Shauna Bannon | 31c | 253.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Shauna Bannon | 46c | 252.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Shauna Bannon | 22c | 241$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Nicolle Caliari | 66c | 233.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Nicolle Caliari | 69c | 224.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Nicolle Caliari | 64c | 224.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…6c08backed Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 214.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 211.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shauna Bannon | 14c | 207$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Shauna Bannon | 28c | 206.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Shauna Bannon | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Shauna Bannon | 28c | 195.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Nicolle Caliari | 72c | 191.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shauna Bannon | 31c | 176.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…c488backed Shauna Bannon | 29c | 173.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Shauna Bannon | 29c | 170.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed Nicolle Caliari | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 151.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Nicolle Caliari | 70c | 142.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Nicolle Caliari | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Shauna Bannon | 41c | 139.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Shauna Bannon | 50c | 138.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.