MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840c674f50e472679218c820b4f6be8164bd778d82d8328a90f47604b18f1d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 83,339$43,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,364.24 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 81,000$38,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,119.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 75,000$40,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,099.97 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 61,016$31,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,053.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 48,406$24,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,445.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 47,548$22,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200.37 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 38,039$19,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,780.03 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 14,458$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.71 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 14,067$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.82 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 7,521$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.62 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 6,785$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 6,403$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 6,146$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.9 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,106$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 4,680$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,983$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 3,948$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.73 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 3,807$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,704$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,462$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 3,418$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,999$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.66 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,653$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.35 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 2,410$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.95 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,398$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.99 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 2,370$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,166$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.76 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 1,709$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,635$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 1,633$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,527$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 1,496$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,459$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.87 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,385$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,122$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.59 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,090$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.19 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 970.79$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 950.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.61 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 882$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 877.24$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…92b4backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…df3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 759.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 753$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 685.6$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 682.77$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 680$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.73 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 628$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…dd10backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…d2dabacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 588.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 588$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 567$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 564$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 515.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 468.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 445.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 421.33$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 416.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 411.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 408$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 336.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 284.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 279.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 258$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 252.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 244.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 228.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 223.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Kansas City Royals | 77c | 218.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 213.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.