NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7025040d88623a49ef40ec35b52e14abd468b36e391e364b81d91ee3ee7558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 56c | 134,426$75,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,647.6 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 43c | 30,649$13,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,178.93 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 12,331$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.43 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Over | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 43c | 4,563$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.09 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 2,757$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 43c | 2,519$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.17 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Over | 44c | 1,706$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 42c | 764.34$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 63c | 631.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Over | 44c | 472.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 407$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…0fb5backed Under | 55c | 393.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 272.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 59c | 224.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 41c | 185.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 136.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 44c | 132.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ba5cbacked Over | 66c | 124.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 29c | 109.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 73.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 56c | 72.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 49c | 62.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 44c | 59.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…75d8backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…29b8backed Over | 44c | 38.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…8a8dbacked Over | 43c | 36.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 43c | 33.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…6a12backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 44c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 45c | 24.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. DevilsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.