NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6fa5521a25c8b1d7aa2933e334cba43100a28f77bf2c51e4953a83f01687d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.98 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 2,113$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.02 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 888.15$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 874.1$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 599$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 55c | 321.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 45c | 321.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 39c | 308.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 66c | 227.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 189.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 69c | 182$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 44c | 171.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 40c | 150.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 144$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 133.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 62c | 117.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 66.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 56c | 59.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Over | 54c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 54c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. DevilsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.