MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6865e14d2b6c86a14e4a06724281e8ea60651412a3075d8814cabc108849cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Kansas City Royals, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 48,040$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 32,233$18,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,407.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 31,942$18,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,415.66 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 25,909$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 24,000$14,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,928.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 19,344$12,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,656.77 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 18,768$13,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 18,086$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 7,127$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 7,058$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 6,921$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 6,871$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 6,050$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 5,960$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 5,941$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,800$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 4,284$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.53 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,200$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 3,649$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.94 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 3,476$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.52 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 3,428$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.42 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 3,250$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,545$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 2,500$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.25 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,147$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,048$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…c794backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,991$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.44 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,978$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.52 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,811$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.43 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 1,746$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.47 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 1,293$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,260$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 1,214$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,205$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,119$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,057$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,011$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 845$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 844.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 818.58$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.33 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 796$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.28 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…9efdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 663.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 645.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 613.52$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 603.69$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 585$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 568$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 561.59$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 477$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 455$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…01a9backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 425.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Kansas City Royals | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 385.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 351.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 336.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 329.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 322.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 322.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 315.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 314.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 313.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…686fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…641bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 295.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Kansas City Royals | 18c | 292.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 268.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 247.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 214.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 210$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 187.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 164.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 163.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.