Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050a206afed68d5c57284b900db1e65349c3ff03080f0461663db3cdcd6821a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utah Thunderbirdsof Tarleton State Texans, Southern Utah Thunderbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 2,263$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.44 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 35c | 1,788$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.59 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 68c | 1,693$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Tarleton State Texans | 8c | 1,469$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tarleton State Texans | 24c | 1,454$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 844.56$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 48c | 831.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.74 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed Tarleton State Texans | 61c | 816.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Tarleton State Texans | 9c | 650$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 25c | 648.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 627.59$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.02 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 7c | 627$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Tarleton State Texans | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Tarleton State Texans | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 506.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.52 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 505.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 483.15$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 80c | 467$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 441.11$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.9 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 26c | 440.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 409.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 393.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 60c | 353.73$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 62c | 301$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Tarleton State Texans | 59c | 249.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tarleton State Texans | 25c | 239.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 75c | 235.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 202$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 173.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 73c | 172$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 37c | 170.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 163.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…3970backed Tarleton State Texans | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 30c | 132.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 35c | 126.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…64a2backed Tarleton State Texans | 10c | 123.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 21c | 109.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 76c | 103.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2ec9backed Tarleton State Texans | 41c | 100.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Tarleton State Texans | 27c | 90.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 82.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tarleton State Texans | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 70.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Tarleton State Texans | 22c | 65.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 57.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 63c | 56.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…530dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 54.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…eb4ebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 57c | 52.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…29b8backed Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Tarleton State Texans | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 43.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 75c | 38.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 64c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Tarleton State Texans | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…8d4dbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 61c | 16.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 76c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsthis page
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-4.5)Southern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-5.5)Southern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-6.5)Southern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 149.5Over won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 150.5Over won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 151.5Over won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.