Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc45341f1296b5aab39ec8ee9d0046f87eca9d513d7c4dbd68875e6873624775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 323,970$168,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,732.46 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 250,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 55,813$26,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,790 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…7284backed Under | 0c | 22,050$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,317$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 2,879$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,398$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,953$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 51c | 416.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 200.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 51c | 93.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 93.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 49c | 91.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 16c | 63.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 53c | 61.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…ca70backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 51c | 31.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 29.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Under | 49c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 151.5this page
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-4.5)Southern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-5.5)Southern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-6.5)Southern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah ThunderbirdsSouthern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 149.5Over won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 150.5Over won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.