Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf117f8654aba69ef37237afb991ecea6ffb921555f65ccda590d62be2cd2b7fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 18,662$9,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,103.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 17,866$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 7,555$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 45c | 6,718$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 6,297$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.03 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 5,516$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 5,496$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,853$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.54 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 4,013$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 43c | 2,382$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.38 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,892$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…dc4dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,629$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,556$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 45c | 1,476$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.29 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,326$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 38c | 1,318$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.71 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 61c | 1,147$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.29 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 64c | 1,073$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.96 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 53c | 1,001$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.3 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 933$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 918.73$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 70c | 875.3$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 38c | 867.84$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.37 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 69c | 865.32$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 43c | 820$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 62c | 814.52$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 49c | 787.01$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 75c | 681.82$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed No | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 77c | 651.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 619.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…9dc0backed Yes | 43c | 504.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 8c | 475.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 48c | 467.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…63aebacked Yes | 68c | 448.18$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 23c | 429.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 56c | 400$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46d…d125backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 399.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 3c | 399.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 24c | 396.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 384.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 365.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 27c | 300$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 25c | 299.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 56c | 295.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…652cbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 43c | 289.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 273.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 73c | 271.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…c5b6backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 5c | 232$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 48c | 222.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 216.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 199.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 38c | 187.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 40c | 176.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 59c | 169.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 45c | 155.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 11c | 153.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 57c | 149.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 7c | 149$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…1239backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 58c | 145.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…dc88backed Yes | 66c | 137.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 42c | 132.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 56c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 25.2%29 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Yes | 65c | 115.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…2e2bbacked Yes | 45c | 107.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 70c | 106$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 48c | 102.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 64c | 100.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?No won
- Norway leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.