Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d555d45a82ee2a5d6b5985b6de78697f493b6dd9d568432d41f887ca8af648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,441$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked No | 47c | 1,320$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 52c | 1,288$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.91 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,035$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.69 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…1e74backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 48c | 999.46$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.72 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 836.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 54c | 716.59$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.89 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Yes | 52c | 694.23$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 31c | 641$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 51c | 554.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.03 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 47c | 499.95$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 385.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 54c | 290.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 54c | 285.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…fe8dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 54c | 170.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 48c | 165.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 148.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed Yes | 53c | 143.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc102…0401backed No | 48c | 137.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…e9babacked Yes | 53c | 116.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…7d31backed No | 48c | 108.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 47c | 105.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…47e6backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 48c | 86.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…f97ebacked No | 48c | 82.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 52c | 78.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…7d4abacked No | 48c | 68.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 67.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…4bdabacked Yes | 53c | 58.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…6020backed No | 48c | 57.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…9e2fbacked Yes | 53c | 53.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…9317backed Yes | 55c | 50.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…93b1backed Yes | 53c | 38.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…66b0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Genoa vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.