Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7287834f7a2d771523f22bc3c5d8cb3e3406a42219bb5c50fc728562d9413195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 26,542$12,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,334.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 18,229$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450.06 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 51c | 10,947$5,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.55 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 20c | 10,026$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 5,521$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.45 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 5,117$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 80c | 5,024$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.2 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 4,145$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.02 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 49c | 3,908$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,096$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.16 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,050$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 19c | 2,040$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.57 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 18c | 999.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.97 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 18c | 750$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 47c | 749.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 80c | 696$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 79c | 625.05$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.79 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes | 53c | 574.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 567.51$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 548$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Yes | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 50c | 402.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 401.66$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 368.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 20c | 359$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 19c | 336.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 58c | 288.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 264.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 53c | 227.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 48c | 223.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 45c | 222.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 194$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 42c | 105.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 102.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 19c | 67.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 54c | 60.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Yes | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2241…4017backed Yes | 51c | 52.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…8eeabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f1…ef9bbacked Yes | 63c | 49.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…9fb3backed Yes | 74c | 43.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 49c | 41.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 54c | 37.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Genoa vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.