NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2594ef610f9ba1c0be7b07af4cec645e1ffa9caaeef797023dfb1755e78942a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 96,725$46,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,391.78 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 52c | 95,224$49,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,971.99 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Capitals | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 42,948$19,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,784.37 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 52c | 31,554$16,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,136.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.93 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 22,115$10,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,836.79 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 52c | 19,702$10,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,420.17 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 12,118$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.71 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets | 0c | 10,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 9,801$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.29 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 9,600$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 8,995$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.54 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 6,200$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 52c | 5,154$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.1 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Capitals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 4,860$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.96 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 4,175$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Capitals | 52c | 4,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 3,187$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.7 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Capitals | 49c | 3,011$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.38 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 49c | 2,660$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Capitals | 53c | 2,552$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.44 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets | 9c | 2,498$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 2,135$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.75 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Capitals | 53c | 2,100$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Capitals | 52c | 1,845$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Capitals | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.96 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,422$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,418$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.46 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 999.93$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a44…021cbacked Capitals | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 865.35$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Blue Jackets | 3c | 864.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 835$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked Capitals | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…85a0backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 799.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 799$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.53 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 781$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.07 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Capitals | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Capitals | 54c | 744.74$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 66c | 661.87$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.89 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 631$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Capitals | 51c | 600$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets | 3c | 596.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…9171backed Capitals | 53c | 584.91$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…3f4ebacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b95…d040backed Capitals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 503$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed Capitals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 499.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 80c | 429$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Capitals | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Capitals | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Blue Jackets | 11c | 399.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Capitals | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Capitals | 54c | 371.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…b96bbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 371.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Capitals | 53c | 369.22$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 368.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Blue Jackets | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Capitals | 51c | 358.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Blue Jackets | 8c | 358$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51d…c399backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…0092backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…25ebbacked Capitals | 54c | 319.17$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…2daebacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 315$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Capitals | 75c | 310$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Capitals won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.