Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeacef06064700139a79020c091e78f4efd3831769f915e6973c2960601f9084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 50c | 16,334$8,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,166.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 14,513$7,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 51c | 7,509$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.31 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 5c | 2,143$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 4c | 1,546$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 48c | 1,249$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.48 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…fb27backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ed31backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Yes | 48c | 950$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 824.88$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 51c | 810.44$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 25c | 807.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 748.1$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.65 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 604.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 51c | 571.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…895cbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 47c | 179.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 123.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…e223backed No | 52c | 105.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 51c | 104.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 35c | 86.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed Yes | 50c | 78.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed Yes | 50c | 70.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 66.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 66.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…e9babacked Yes | 50c | 58.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 50c | 42.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 47c | 41.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…bffabacked No | 51c | 40.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 50c | 40.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…4cedbacked No | 51c | 39.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…18d2backed Yes | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 38.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d7…4d54backed No | 50c | 37.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 51c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…b0aebacked No | 52c | 31.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…0fa7backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…a49cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…e323backed Yes | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…7281backed Yes | 53c | 19.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Udinese vs. Lecce end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.