Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese vs. Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983f1b02f7bae6b94919f04282b1cdf04f396e1076eb5a413802eb71afd52233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 571.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 30c | 543.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 429.41$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 418.16$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 78c | 329.26$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 15c | 146.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…629ebacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese vs. Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.