TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Flyers, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$396,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers34c174,788$58,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,860.0114057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Panthers66c78,856$52,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,8119242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Panthers66c75,000$49,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Panthers67c75,000$50,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,749.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Flyers33c28,888$9,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,533.044944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Panthers67c15,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9505644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers66c10,097$6,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.0957453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Flyers34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47f3…01c5backed Panthers69c9,795$6,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers35c9,705$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.0592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Flyers30c7,400$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.2640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Flyers33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Panthers67c5,002$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.5617448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Flyers33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Panthers67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9925446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Flyers34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9614253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers33c4,648$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.8736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Panthers66c4,559$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.852556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Panthers66c4,384$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.3993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Flyers34c4,373$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.7856649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers66c3,429$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.8137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Flyers33c3,238$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.0215646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Flyers34c3,176$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.841,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Flyers34c3,012$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.082250%11 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers79c2,742$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.651,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Panthers65c2,608$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.2733837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Flyers34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Flyers33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8254450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers64c2,167$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.321,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Panthers68c2,055$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.491573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panthers65c1,983$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.0213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Panthers66c1,925$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Flyers34c1,628$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.362941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Panthers65c1,626$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.692653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…d2d9backed Panthers65c1,565$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b2…f8d4backed Flyers35c1,563$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.051060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Panthers68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5629551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Flyers35c1,417$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers32c1,352$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.731,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers34c1,331$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.3951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers34c1,188$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.961,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers33c904.46$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.421,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers34c898.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Panthers68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Panthers68c859.96$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.19560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers28c815.96$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Panthers66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27235349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Flyers31c752.6$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Flyers33c700$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9411435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Panthers66c687$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8830848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers36c676.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4728…6426backed Panthers67c630.62$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Flyers34c539.57$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.452653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Flyers24c519$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.464753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers10c500.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers64c458.85$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Panthers67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.764450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers33c433.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers34c406.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9938046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Panthers68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.657454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Flyers35c354.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12414148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2c…355fbacked Flyers32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Flyers31c350$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Panthers65c350$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.56162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Flyers36c334.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Panthers65c307.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7712742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Flyers25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Panthers67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5123653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Panthers64c297.98$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2718520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers76c287.28$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Panthers67c282.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Flyers5c242.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Flyers34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6718750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Panthers67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6670249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Flyers33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Flyers32c185.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19cf…5636backed Flyers35c165.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.963455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Flyers34c154.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.56137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Panthers68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.068052.5%42 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Flyers34c147.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9913440.3%54 W · 80 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked Flyers34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.84348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa416…7f37backed Panthers64c135$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Panthers76c133.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Panthers64c121.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe811…3b81backed Flyers37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers76c116.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Panthers73c108$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3315560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x488c…e1e2backed Panthers65c104.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Flyers34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354015%6 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Flyers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317644.9%79 W · 97 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Flyers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Flyers36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3643944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b2…ece1backed Panthers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.