NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7cb6ae5ece730853e74dd5e3aaed0baa274c84c76d4fda5ad6271d0dacd30d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Hurricanes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 65c | 9,511$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Hurricanes | 34c | 6,928$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.09 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 65c | 2,572$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.81 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 66c | 2,350$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…c121backed Hurricanes | 33c | 1,050$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…22a4backed Hurricanes | 33c | 1,020$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 65c | 906.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.54 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…52c7backed Hurricanes | 33c | 880$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Senators | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…3d28backed Senators | 67c | 480$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…97efbacked Senators | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Senators | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…0ce5backed Senators | 67c | 350$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…b35ebacked Senators | 67c | 330$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…5942backed Senators | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…0188backed Senators | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…ceadbacked Senators | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…c6d3backed Senators | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…e7cdbacked Senators | 67c | 240$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Hurricanes | 33c | 188.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hurricanes | 34c | 179.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Senators | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Hurricanes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Senators | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 66c | 80.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Senators | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 75.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Senators | 61c | 70.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Hurricanes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Senators | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hurricanes | 37c | 56.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes | 39c | 56.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Hurricanes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Hurricanes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Senators | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Senators | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Senators | 68c | 38.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Hurricanes | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Senators | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Senators | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Senators | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Senators | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Senators | 65c | 21.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Senators | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed Senators | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Senators | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.