NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269a8e4ad820598a13e4e97e2acdb304ffebdf451f5cf37b70f34d4972f0acfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 46c | 35,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 54c | 33,658$18,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,482.65 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 9,547$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 47c | 5,004$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.63 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 48c | 4,419$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.96 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 4,410$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 52c | 4,081$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.96 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 4,079$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.13 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 55c | 3,737$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.31 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,100$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.06 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 51c | 1,500$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.6 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 1,128$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.61 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.22 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 1,013$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.26 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 693.96$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.16 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 681$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.07 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 53c | 367.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 47c | 360.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 46c | 342.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 269.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed Under | 53c | 254.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 196.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 55c | 191.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Under | 52c | 182.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 168.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 161.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 44c | 133.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Over | 58c | 132.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 123.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 109.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 53c | 94.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Under | 53c | 89.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 35c | 77.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 73.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 53c | 55.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 57c | 46.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 49c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed Under | 51c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…6112backed Over | 48c | 40.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 40.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Under | 52c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 33.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 53c | 30.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 53c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.