College Football · resolved market
Utah State vs. New Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5877a0f46eca1a309d8ed8f0bd2a033b9ac41130ee4b2212ba783d45be4fe900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexicoof Utah State, New Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah State | 43c | 24,419$10,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,462.57 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed New Mexico | 57c | 17,688$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,606.04 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked New Mexico | 58c | 8,993$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.07 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Utah State | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Utah State | 42c | 4,170$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.29 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New Mexico | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Utah State | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed New Mexico | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Utah State | 42c | 2,243$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.07 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked New Mexico | 59c | 2,159$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.45 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah State | 32c | 2,060$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.66 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah State | 40c | 740.89$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked New Mexico | 57c | 720$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico | 60c | 601$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.09 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked New Mexico | 57c | 480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…cf04backed Utah State | 43c | 423.26$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked New Mexico | 58c | 423$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Utah State | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed New Mexico | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked New Mexico | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked New Mexico | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed New Mexico | 58c | 248.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Utah State | 8c | 240.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Utah State | 43c | 222$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State | 5c | 204.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Utah State | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Utah State | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked New Mexico | 58c | 195.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked New Mexico | 58c | 195.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah State | 5c | 186.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Utah State | 42c | 183.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed New Mexico | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah State | 36c | 170.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Utah State | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Utah State | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…7c74backed New Mexico | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…11abbacked Utah State | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…3393backed Utah State | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a8…f648backed New Mexico | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed New Mexico | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed New Mexico | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked New Mexico | 63c | 63.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Utah State | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Utah State | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked New Mexico | 58c | 42.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed New Mexico | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…651cbacked Utah State | 43c | 41.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked New Mexico | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked New Mexico | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed New Mexico | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed New Mexico | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State vs. New Mexicothis page
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico (-3.5)New Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.