South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cad421d2770fe3da45a8f8ea1454c4171230abda3139f666bf397f5c7a1373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 3,464$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 3,248$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,050$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,577$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 16c | 608.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 9c | 602$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 11c | 567$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 11c | 525$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…b51cbacked Yes | 4c | 330$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 10c | 293.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 15c | 261.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…b05ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 10c | 235.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 10c | 199.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 166.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8fafbacked Yes | 11c | 134.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 20c | 84.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 79c | 83.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 21c | 57.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 22c | 51.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 25c | 41.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 16.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Fortaleza EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.