South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb980346e70c64afec8bba446d2ea0414015a341347aae9c4744bbd12e79b6fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 68c | 28,435$19,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,012.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 45c | 17,805$8,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,012.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 15,772$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.81 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 10,041$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 50c | 8,140$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 8,028$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 7,251$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 71c | 4,677$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,766$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 27c | 2,709$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.39 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 55c | 2,199$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.32 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 2,030$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.48 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 2,014$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 77c | 1,900$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…6275backed No | 48c | 1,780$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 1,320$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 48c | 1,276$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 1,260$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.81 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 47c | 1,047$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.17 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 44c | 1,031$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 23c | 874.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 78c | 831.97$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 45c | 755.56$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 25c | 671.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 8c | 606.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 605.92$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 65c | 501.33$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 56c | 450$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 47c | 428.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 48c | 426$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 48c | 408.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 50c | 399.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 47c | 343.34$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 50c | 337.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 69c | 330.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 285.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…f14bbacked Yes | 78c | 274.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 51c | 248.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Yes | 67c | 240.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 33c | 240.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked No | 22c | 181.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Yes | 52c | 174.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 19c | 163.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 31c | 144.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Yes | 69c | 144.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 140.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 64c | 138$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 48c | 135.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 125.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 51c | 114.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…02f5backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed No | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…490cbacked Yes | 50c | 79.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 50c | 70.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 73c | 65.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ee…a4bebacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 36c | 61.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 51c | 55.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Yes | 54c | 50.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Yes | 54c | 44.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 57c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 31c | 32.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…0f28backed Yes | 52c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…d729backed Yes | 69c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Fortaleza EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.