Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec56bba615a5b2489bc3eeb7868440886e2717b5dd6375ffa11aafd38d3380ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.98 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 57c | 14,284$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,141.69 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 1,782$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.05 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 1,155$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.49 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 917.26$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 804.51$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.15 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 584.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.35 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 43c | 529$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 450.74$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 446.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 35c | 427.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 42c | 347.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 42c | 306.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 42c | 299$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 73c | 280.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 251$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 45c | 222.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 191.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 10c | 126.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 55c | 124.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 59.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…d550backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 45.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…d388backed Yes | 34c | 39.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…b79bbacked Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 60c | 22.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 72c | 18.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.