Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48fe53973d752c1173585cc607af638294f2166378464ca6380274d5a216ddcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 7c | 25,914$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 7c | 5,531$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 3,050$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 8c | 1,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 9c | 1,074$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 743.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Yes | 9c | 670$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…b853backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 14c | 480$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 20c | 335.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 7c | 310$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 8c | 140.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 12c | 96.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 20c | 66.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed No | 75c | 35.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-10-27?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?Yes won
- Will Moreirense FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.