Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba15396958d1dea85c7049ac843ff2ea63ebb0069a96fb4b57869552f86f4721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 43c | 3,050$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 2,158$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,716$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 743.14$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.11 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 66c | 594.26$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 429.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a470backed Yes | 28c | 380$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…1265backed No | 72c | 380$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 168.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Yes | 71c | 140.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 96.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 72c | 88.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 25c | 78.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 39c | 66.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…b98abacked Yes | 76c | 66.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 57c | 51.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yes | 56c | 34.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked No | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 58c | 28.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked No | 72c | 23.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?this page
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.