La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6159ec5afbd9a0398b8552f461f33a3301a8f9eedf35fa490b760a6aa84fd455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Celta Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celta Vigo | 66c | 3,400$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Celta Vigo | 70c | 2,991$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Barcelona | 36c | 2,660$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Barcelona | 31c | 1,994$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.66 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Barcelona | 33c | 1,788$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.71 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Barcelona | 71c | 1,223$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Barcelona | 35c | 1,200$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Barcelona | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Barcelona | 34c | 873.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Barcelona | 30c | 833$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Barcelona | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Celta Vigo | 68c | 480.68$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Celta Vigo | 69c | 215.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Barcelona | 31c | 209.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Barcelona | 39c | 177.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Celta Vigo | 67c | 175$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celta Vigo | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Barcelona | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Barcelona | 34c | 147.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Barcelona | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Celta Vigo | 67c | 97.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Celta Vigo | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Barcelona | 33c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Celta Vigo | 66c | 55.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Celta Vigo | 63c | 43.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Barcelona | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Barcelona | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Celta Vigo | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 43c | 32.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Barcelona | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…ebf3backed Barcelona | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Celta Vigo | 70c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…5407backed Celta Vigo | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)this page
- Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.