TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Over50c54,501$27,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,315.354922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under50c28,064$14,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,031.995040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Under50c20,754$10,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,384.52060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c9,622$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.164247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c6,581$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.854,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0409052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…6098backed Over70c3,060$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c1,219$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.1614645.2%66 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under51c999.94$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.973345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over48c920$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.45927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over50c850$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.4811457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over47c833.12$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.564141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over48c805.86$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.083246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over48c761$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8315851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.51942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…e6b7backed Under52c651.85$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Over49c636$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over50c600.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.197644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Under55c546.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.211049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Under52c489.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.892462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over48c414.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0419461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb81…9134backed Over50c413.52$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Over49c409.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.091850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Under53c377.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf4…8f44backed Over49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under50c269.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over49c265.92$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0813824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over50c200.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.13868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e1…2ee8backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over49c169.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.484961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over79c165.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0710329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over49c140.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.658732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…dad4backed Under53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over49c136.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.381553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.43372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc225…4e1ebacked Under27c109.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Over48c103.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.685442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Under25c102.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed Under53c94.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under52c87.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.958354.2%45 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2599…61cdbacked Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over51c72.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.552152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Over48c67.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.571533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c62.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over50c60.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.345952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over73c58.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Over47c55.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6946…bdeebacked Under43c53.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c52.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.461,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.026450%32 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa541…d860backed Under32c44.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over48c41.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.354652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe335…9db0backed Over71c39.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Over48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7610248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c09…df0bbacked Over49c37.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.071566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c32.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x210f…d8c3backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…5407backed Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Over50c21.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under51c20.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7717648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2db…198bbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.