La Liga · resolved market
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689d3c346c1bb0c019b80a0d7141fabfd551412b4f1fec4e06253d846fa1de04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 50c | 54,501$27,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,315.35 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 50c | 28,064$14,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,031.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Under | 50c | 20,754$10,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,384.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 51c | 9,622$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 6,581$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.85 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…6098backed Over | 70c | 3,060$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,219$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.16 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 48c | 920$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.48 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 47c | 833.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.56 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 48c | 805.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 48c | 761$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…e6b7backed Under | 52c | 651.85$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Over | 49c | 636$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 50c | 600.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.19 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 55c | 546.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Under | 52c | 489.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 48c | 414.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.04 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…9134backed Over | 50c | 413.52$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Over | 49c | 409.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Under | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…8f44backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 50c | 269.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 265.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 49c | 169.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 79c | 165.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 49c | 140.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Under | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 49c | 136.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 27c | 109.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Over | 48c | 103.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Under | 25c | 102.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed Under | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 87.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Over | 48c | 67.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 62.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 50c | 60.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 73c | 58.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…bdeebacked Under | 43c | 53.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 52.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed Under | 32c | 44.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 48c | 41.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…9db0backed Over | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…df0bbacked Over | 49c | 37.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…5407backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…198bbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.