Serie A · resolved market
Juventus vs. Torino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40722ca0b71e8de5e58557712504f8f521b7a58db52acae2b4ed3804d837a5c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 2,249$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Over | 45c | 887.72$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 56c | 525.55$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.65 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 414.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 54c | 318.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 66c | 270.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 48c | 208.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 51c | 208.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 180.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 39c | 174.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…17c3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 49c | 77.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Over | 51c | 73.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 50c | 71.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…418cbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 36c | 55.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over | 45c | 52.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 54c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus vs. Torino: O/U 2.5this page
- Juventus vs. Torino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Juventus (-1.5)Torino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.