TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c16,317$12,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes15c12,965$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.4329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Yes23c12,528$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.323112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c5,617$4,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.3131945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes25c3,158$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.6510366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c3,049$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed No80c3,000$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes23c2,857$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.997354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes13c2,693$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0328731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f2…f486backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+156.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes25c1,980$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes22c1,726$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.112556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes24c1,483$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3561145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c1,414$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc48…e792backed Yes25c1,192$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2986021.7%13 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes23c1,068$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c1,037$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0121016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c880.67$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c564$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017727.7%49 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes20c432.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5523622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed Yes22c398.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes20c394.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9120322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c382.69$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.021,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes25c367.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.434544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No76c332.98$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c325$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No78c310.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3924837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes23c300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed No77c299.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7413531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes14c255$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9518641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No77c237.66$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.664057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1083…3b83backed Yes24c235.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…593dbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No77c208.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.93246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c188.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.411,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes23c182.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0517345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408219.5%16 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No77c144.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1521140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc26…6cd5backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f2…118bbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985b…46c4backed No77c124$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.96222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c111.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9542352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes21c91.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.154250%21 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c87.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3855045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad9…65d7backed No77c85.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No75c79.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.988538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes21c75.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.78229.1%2 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640a…f359backed No75c75.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.76933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No78c68.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.948145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes22c68.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4acb…87babacked Yes21c62.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Yes22c59.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.192931%9 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Yes21c54.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed No78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed No79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.633855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…25c2backed Yes24c46.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…76e4backed No78c44.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107642.1%32 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2886…0e62backed No76c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c3…08a9backed No78c29.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No76c29.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0414040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6413131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7546453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7511748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7545949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7539749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7535848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…fb37backed No79c16.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.546100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No80c16.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4512147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4512350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4513050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.