Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8efe20e5960d15b4c700a6b20f50b312efc0f6a8f97c7f92e15d6ffee71319c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 8,317$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.92 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 32c | 8,125$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 3,350$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 32c | 1,975$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 32c | 1,481$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 32c | 1,241$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 42c | 1,199$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.97 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 606.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.69 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 73c | 583$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 476$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…c850backed Yes | 80c | 393.12$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 31c | 355.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…f359backed Yes | 9c | 327.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 31c | 317.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 36c | 227.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 32c | 219.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 199.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 181.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 71c | 161.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 31c | 149.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed No | 70c | 137.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…6840backed Yes | 35c | 124.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 16c | 106.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…3cf3backed Yes | 32c | 104.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 66c | 99.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 20c | 98.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…f1a9backed Yes | 71c | 91.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 88.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 31c | 78.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 66.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 47.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…bdc9backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed No | 49c | 41.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…7bd4backed Yes | 61c | 41.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked No | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…2149backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 40c | 29.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…879bbacked No | 69c | 27.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…fb37backed No | 73c | 18.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?this page
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.