TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5b2…879b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.8%+$17.03
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.41
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$11.48
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.62
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.61
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+62%+$27.08
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+70.3%+$7.43
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+89.3%+$60.23
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.13
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.73
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+147.6%+$34.82
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.3%+$4.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.5%+$38.32
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+133.7%+$50.77
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25.9%+$6.45
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+76.4%+$7.69
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+46%+$11.42
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.02
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+67.9%+$17.85
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.82
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+98.4%+$16.51
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.3%+$16.97
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.9
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.38
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+146.2%+$107.5
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+107%+$47.55
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.7%+$24.63
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36.04
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+34.9%+$3.62
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+188.9%+$40.99
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.2%+$26.78
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+119.8%+$12.1
Spread: Tulane (-9.5)backed Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.76
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.43
Will Egypt win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+115.4%+$14.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+95.5%+$52.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.4%+$36.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.4%+$12.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.