Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd790094bdd60a0c2086d6e190f650db3d0e922ed97fdd42357e87c20b02c37d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 11,541$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.67 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 8,281$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 6,056$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 2,046$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.09 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 56c | 1,098$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,044$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 5c | 1,028$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 525$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 440.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed Yes | 42c | 355.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 27c | 349.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 278.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 57c | 201.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 196.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 59c | 146.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 144.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 71.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 54c | 50.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…0007backed Yes | 46c | 32.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 57c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…879bbacked No | 57c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce87…2f3fbacked No | 69c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 61c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Egypt end in a draw?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.