Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a095b0e876f74acaa3b08ef1307ebcbc91c94c27f885daef0b62642ce853be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 30c | 3,649$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 30c | 3,560$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,010$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.39 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 2,812$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 18c | 1,960$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.55 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 75c | 1,917$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.24 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 1,739$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,208$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.63 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 30c | 999.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.8 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 722$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.62 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 43c | 486.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 70c | 405.71$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 80c | 222.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 75c | 212.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 25c | 195$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 30c | 127.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 36c | 110.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…6f82backed Yes | 33c | 87.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 41c | 85.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 33c | 78.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 78c | 73.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 24c | 64.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 62.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 59.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 23c | 48.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 52c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…f0b0backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0027…020bbacked No | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked No | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Yes | 60c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed No | 73c | 22.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 78c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.