Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1991e69f29e70102f4154a8cf01f83951c22ea99656b91360c2b36ffc45315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 9,462$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 3,999$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.86 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 3,170$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.1 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 23c | 2,116$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.69 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6292backed Yes | 24c | 1,310$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 20c | 1,308$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 6c | 829.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 713.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 685.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 76c | 672.39$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 23c | 662.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 22c | 467.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed No | 79c | 398.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 76c | 370$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 16c | 198.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 170.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 11c | 129.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 126.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 79c | 126.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 23c | 110.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Yes | 23c | 108.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…ad69backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4949backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 76c | 78.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 23c | 57.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 24c | 45.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed No | 77c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…dd6ebacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.