TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sonegoof Sonego, Korda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$442,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Sonego69c102,239$70,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,779.477857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Korda25c37,121$9,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,268.810845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Sonego70c25,003$17,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,400.992450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sonego70c11,119$7,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.191,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Korda29c7,827$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.7916644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Korda40c7,589$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Korda29c6,242$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.738,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Korda20c4,999$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.335339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Sonego72c4,438$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.427062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e3…1951backed Sonego36c3,120$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e9…af61backed Sonego36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sonego79c2,828$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Korda20c2,404$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.882050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709b…0a2dbacked Korda64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434c…0536backed Sonego36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2803100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda30c1,691$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.072,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Korda31c1,531$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Sonego73c1,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b18…84f7backed Korda64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c5…f6d0backed Korda64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Sonego74c1,378$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.115362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8796…8015backed Korda64c1,200$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Korda5c1,140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.887432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c0…0faabacked Korda64c1,120$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Korda39c1,066$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1315832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Korda30c990.62$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.192119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Korda37c988.95$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.916358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Korda42c861.9$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3629452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Korda25c842.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.821,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…4418backed Korda64c799.99$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Korda34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Sonego75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.678562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Korda12c643$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.71,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Korda38c622.96$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.841,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Sonego37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c6…1661backed Sonego72c574.71$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Korda39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad1e…6b90backed Sonego75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Sonego36c431.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27730339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Sonego41c426.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.832733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Korda32c412.71$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.88248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Sonego77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Korda66c398.69$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9638348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Sonego45c396.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.510036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Sonego77c386.03$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.994443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Korda4c359.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-69.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Sonego70c345.71$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+71.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Sonego73c305.84$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.282254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Korda34c302.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Korda64c296.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8752844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Sonego36c294.7$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7840141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Korda67c293$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.315050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Korda33c280.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Sonego72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Korda62c270.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16822744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sonego75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a4…52f7backed Korda33c247.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Sonego76c245$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.251070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…1278backed Sonego71c240.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.191258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Sonego71c225.72$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Korda6c206.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Sonego38c194.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.746949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Korda55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Sonego74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Sonego63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Sonego76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Sonego39c148.72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7237233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe006…b06dbacked Sonego71c140.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Sonego77c130.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.242576%19 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed Korda9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24546.7%21 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Korda8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Korda25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Korda28c114.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked Korda28c110.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a12…b926backed Korda19c107$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa507…2468backed Sonego77c106.42$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc80…8634backed Sonego52c106.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.06728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Korda25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Sonego77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81db…741fbacked Korda27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7f…bc44backed Sonego73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Korda15c99.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3331819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Sonego72c83.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6971857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Sonego48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3346556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd510…0be5backed Sonego73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Korda31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sonego34c80.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Korda66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Sonego67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6312253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Sonego34c66.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Korda47c63.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa088…9972backed Korda30c61.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c38…215bbacked Sonego42c59.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Sonego37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Sonego68c53.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.012759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Korda29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686a…7deabacked Korda28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick44cpaid-87.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fc1…6362backed Sonego65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Korda51c49.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Sonego65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.