Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b13648c398652d6ef1ccfb26387e74bb64e290c06a4b5cd43d2585f36d632a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 8,463$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.14 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 36c | 7,412$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,581$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 37c | 5,233$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 36c | 2,504$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked No | 65c | 1,557$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed Yes | 35c | 1,555$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 1,171$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 65c | 627.51$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 36c | 575.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 566$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 10c | 505.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 368.72$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 362$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 35c | 199.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 36c | 183.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 38c | 147.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 65c | 141.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked No | 67c | 119.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 34c | 110.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…649abacked Yes | 34c | 86.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 67c | 77.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 33c | 73.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Yes | 31c | 58.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…fdc9backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…9a51backed No | 67c | 56.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…d131backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…e5b3backed Yes | 36c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…2de3backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed No | 65c | 34.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…aae4backed No | 67c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…cb50backed No | 67c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2025-10-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.