Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b8b35ed4092fb0a9a98532a6d711151fd541a34f74e33891c600c194e1c0e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,584$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.53 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 61c | 1,402$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.77 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 634$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.52 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 61c | 493.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 480$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 39c | 480$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 333$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 40c | 281.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 61c | 163.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 39c | 156.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 149$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 39c | 121.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 39c | 115.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 22c | 77.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Yes | 60c | 33.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…695abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-0.5)Brighton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.