Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4e49363044c27ee477f731098066085ac65895b1ff72b7a517be85f2893533

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,513 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	4,155$2,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,867.97	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over	47c	2,765$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.55	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under	46c	2,004$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.01	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	46c	1,409$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.68	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Over	54c	917.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over	55c	912.63$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under	52c	632.26$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.8	255	45.5%116 W · 139 L	-18.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Over	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under	43c	499.99$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.99	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under	45c	442.14$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.79	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over	19c	402.81$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.77	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Over	50c	308.09$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+44%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over	54c	277.87$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.1wins	+0.22per pick	52cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Over	53c	250$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.5	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Over	53c	250$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.5	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over	54c	242.69$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over	56c	225$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.75	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	51c	211.71$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.97	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Over	52c	199.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	54c	186.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	57c	177.19$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	166.84$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.25	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Under	58c	153$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.26	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over	52c	152$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.04	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Over	37c	135.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over	54c	121.93$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.62	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over	51c	118.39$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.08	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over	15c	106.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	203	7.4%15 W · 188 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over	50c	105$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x210f…d8c3backed Under	59c	105$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc225…4e1ebacked Under	55c	104$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02a…8e83backed Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	45c	94.73$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.1	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over	55c	69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	200	39.5%79 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e37…aa42backed Over	54c	61$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8279…7edcbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Over	51c	58.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	282	46.1%130 W · 152 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over	53c	47.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Over	54c	46.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Under	59c	34.18$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8877…1fa6backed Over	32c	31.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over	50c	30.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5this page
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spread: Crystal Palace (-0.5)Brighton won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event