Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3894fd378ffcc239fa107091853f392e4f382675cb38a3c9774d86c140f100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brightonof Crystal Palace, Brighton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Crystal Palace | 41c | 2,156$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.38 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Brighton | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brighton | 59c | 1,928$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Crystal Palace | 35c | 1,844$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.91 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Crystal Palace | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Brighton | 62c | 484.6$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Brighton | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Crystal Palace | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Crystal Palace | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Crystal Palace | 41c | 117.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Crystal Palace | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Crystal Palace | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…851dbacked Crystal Palace | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…fd87backed Crystal Palace | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Crystal Palace | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…f049backed Brighton | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed Crystal Palace | 44c | 32.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…44a5backed Crystal Palace | 41c | 30.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Crystal Palace | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Brighton | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-0.5)this page
- Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.