Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Joanna Garland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c07cacb19facf6958cf544e564386d3f2db13ad31155dcff577ce5c82ad9932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birrellof Birrell, Garland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Garland | 57c | 40,761$23,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,359.88 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 40c | 9,774$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.8 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garland | 5c | 8,806$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Birrell | 53c | 6,377$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.34 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Birrell | 50c | 5,425$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Garland | 46c | 5,085$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.37 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 36c | 4,231$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.19 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Birrell | 41c | 3,926$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.55 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Birrell | 20c | 3,499$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed Garland | 7c | 3,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Birrell | 40c | 2,939$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.1 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…0e87backed Birrell | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…8145backed Garland | 32c | 1,296$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Birrell | 49c | 1,138$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.04 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Garland | 49c | 1,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…7920backed Birrell | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Garland | 73c | 677.85$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Birrell | 72c | 663.08$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…93c4backed Garland | 31c | 653.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Birrell | 26c | 653.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.64 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Birrell | 48c | 648.34$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.79 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…d34cbacked Birrell | 75c | 587.35$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Birrell | 10c | 587.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +622.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Birrell | 60c | 520$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.93 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Birrell | 46c | 504.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Birrell | 65c | 411.29$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Garland | 62c | 399.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Garland | 4c | 364.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Birrell | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Birrell | 64c | 327.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Garland | 46c | 303$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Garland | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garland | 67c | 277.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Garland | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…f246backed Garland | 60c | 195.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Birrell | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Birrell | 19c | 153.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…5437backed Garland | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Birrell | 59c | 103.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Birrell | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…cf01backed Birrell | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Garland | 51c | 86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Birrell | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Garland | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Garland | 73c | 67.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…ae45backed Birrell | 62c | 66.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Garland | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Birrell | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Garland | 44c | 55.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Garland | 44c | 53.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Garland | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Birrell | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Birrell | 57c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.