Premier League · resolved market
Fulham vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13c286d4f3decfea060d2d82d73e5d5bdc5ddacbf71bf8ebee7ba3c4d85a490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 4,502$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 3,141$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 1c | 2,522$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 43c | 1,750$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.49 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 59c | 1,702$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 1,378$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.98 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 56c | 1,140$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.17 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 1,018$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.07 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 886.95$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.88 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 43c | 679$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 508.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 56c | 473$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 213.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 44c | 162$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…dca3backed Yes | 58c | 112$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 98.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 93.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…b614backed Yes | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…18c1backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 44c | 71.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 59c | 68.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed No | 44c | 64.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 58c | 48.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed No | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 44c | 41.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…2d02backed Yes | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…c836backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8427…440dbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)Fulham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.