TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Under42c29,758$12,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,618.515344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c10,702$6,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over59c7,098$4,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.311973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over59c5,051$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.45875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Over58c3,449$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under42c3,333$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.732634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c2,758$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over58c2,528$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.962755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under36c2,336$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.272,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over58c1,983$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c1,674$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.231,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over58c1,641$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.481,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under42c1,548$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over58c886.51$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.811346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c863.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3220054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c719.43$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.541,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Over59c605.33$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6812646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9213327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under44c542.4$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.661,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.716654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under41c520.67$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4837036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over58c516.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Over60c505.02$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over66c479.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.28851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over62c430$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.42653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over54c400.34$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.851,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8310343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over58c267.07$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.171275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over59c246.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9814252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over56c207.46$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.282867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.816160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over58c170.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6923435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c139.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.894,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Over59c133.89$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Over59c124.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.413748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over59c109.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.756747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over58c108.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6213439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.452751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7220644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6446…29a8backed Over59c84.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.758759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.976955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under41c68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.67440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330c…a3d4backed Over58c58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over59c50.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.814755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x192c…184fbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97cd…fb38backed Under43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…d3bcbacked Under43c40.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61be…5e3cbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3179…3d2abacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486943.5%30 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4855654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over59c33.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8916236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Over59c31.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9410242.2%43 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.99152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8218444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under43c27.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8816136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over58c27.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4415866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…142abacked Over59c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over58c27.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.363836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6117759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Over59c26.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.038143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Over58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8deebacked Over66c21.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0235…472ebacked Over49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Over58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Over59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.343860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42969%20 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f21…8b6abacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.644864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3812…11b6backed Over71c15.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.