Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa80412f685bd630e815fc503fdebb6937254dd3610954a31de887cae5c51cc26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 3,955$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.69 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 3,188$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,062$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.88 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 1,413$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.46 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 756.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 618$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.86 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 46c | 299.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 54c | 296$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 31c | 163.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 48c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 49c | 135.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes | 49c | 121.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 50c | 115.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 91.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 39c | 67.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…c2dabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 52c | 43.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 78c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.