Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f798999ffd2d50626938b8c3bd347a5deee4e3f202cd2e561759802a31fac24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 0c | 66,377$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 0c | 21,527$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…1d7ebacked No | 0c | 9,830$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,405$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.56 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 1,971$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.46 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,578$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 1,450$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.67 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…7944backed No | 2c | 671.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 165.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 29c | 158$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 28c | 136.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 33c | 133.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 43.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 29c | 35.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 72c | 18.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.